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Tweet Through games of Mar 13, 2016.


Wake Forest

Conference:ACC
Expected RPI:159.0
Current RPI:159
Expected SOS:38
Current Record:11-20
Expected Record:11-20
Current Conf Record:2-17
Expected Conf Record:2-17
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:1-7
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-2
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:1-7
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:5-4
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:4-0
Current OOC Record:9-3
Expected OOC Record:9-3
Expected OOC RPI:68
Expected OOC SOS:100



RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
11-2035.48%159.0100.00%

NEW!: Change any future/past game to a win/loss/prob(win) and see the resulting predicted RPI:


Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Wake Forest.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-13UMBC (335.0)AEH78-73W100%0.0
11-15Bucknell (183.0)PatA82-90W100%0.0
11-18Richmond (121.0)A10H82-91L0%0.0
11-23Indiana (24.0)B10N78-82W100%0.0
11-24Vanderbilt (63.0)SECN64-86L0%0.0
11-25UCLA (102.0)P12N77-80W100%0.0
11-30Rutgers (294.0)B10A68-69W100%0.0
12-4Arkansas (133.0)SECH88-85W100%0.0
12-15UNC Greensboro (237.0)SCH81-71W100%0.0
12-18Coastal Carolina (164.0)BSthH83-77W100%0.0
12-22Xavier (7.0)BEH70-78L0%0.0
12-29LSU (94.0)SECA71-77W100%0.0
1-3Louisville (17.0)ACCA65-57L0%0.0
1-6Duke (20.0)ACCH75-91L0%0.0
1-10North Carolina St. (123.0)ACCH77-74W100%0.0
1-13Virginia Tech (89.0)ACCA93-91L0%0.0
1-16Syracuse (72.0)ACCH55-83L0%0.0
1-20North Carolina (5.0)ACCA83-68L0%0.0
1-23Miami FL (9.0)ACCA77-63L0%0.0
1-26Virginia (3.0)ACCH71-72L0%0.0
1-31Notre Dame (31.0)ACCA85-62L0%0.0
2-2Clemson (131.0)ACCH62-76L0%0.0
2-6Florida St. (82.0)ACCH71-91L0%0.0
2-10Georgia Tech (69.0)ACCA71-66L0%0.0
2-13North Carolina St. (123.0)ACCA99-88L0%0.0
2-16Pittsburgh (53.0)ACCA101-96L0%0.0
2-21Boston College (250.0)ACCH74-48W100%0.0
2-24Notre Dame (31.0)ACCH58-69L0%0.0
2-28Virginia Tech (89.0)ACCH74-81L0%0.0
3-1Duke (20.0)ACCA79-71L0%0.0
3-8North Carolina St. (123.0)ACCN75-72L0%0.0